Of Commerce, Counsel & the Coin

An Austrian Economist

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The balancier, an eighteenth-century French screw press for striking coin, worked by men at a great weighted lever; an engraving from the Encyclopédie’s Monnayage plates, drawn by Lucotte and engraved by Robert Bénard. Musée Carnavalet, Paris.

Headpiece · The mint at work · The balancier, the screw press that struck the coin, from the Monnayage plates of the Encyclopédie, drawn by Lucotte and engraved by Robert Bénard in eighteenth-century Paris

Markets · Monetary Theory

The Tale of Cantillon

Being a true account of the world’s first paper-money bubble, of the Irish banker who traded it before he explained it, and of the machine that has never since been retired.

PUBLISHED JULY 1, 2026 · BY AN AUSTRIAN ECONOMIST

On 9 April 1694, in Bloomsbury Square, a Scottish gambler named John Law killed Edward Wilson, a young dandy the town called Beau, with a single pass and thrust of his sword. The quarrel touched a lady, Elizabeth Villiers; the duel followed as a matter of course; and Law was condemned to death at the Old Bailey before Salathiel Lovell, a judge remembered chiefly for the relish with which he hanged people. The sentence dwindled to a fine on a finding of manslaughter, an appeal by Wilson’s brother returned him to a cell, and before the matter could be settled Law contrived an escape and got clean out of England, a fugitive not yet twenty-five, an Edinburgh goldsmith’s son with a gift for calculation that Europe’s gaming tables would spend twenty years subsidizing.

The exile made him, because he gambled through the capitals of the continent and studied their banks as he went, arriving at the conviction of his life: that the scarcity of money was a solvable defect, since whatever circulates will serve as money, and paper circulates far more obligingly than silver. Government after government declined the scheme, until September 1715, when Louis XIV died owing more money than his kingdom could count, and the Regent who governed for the five-year-old Louis XV, Philippe d’Orléans, proved to be a man of imagination, appetite, and empty vaults, the precise combination a monetary projector requires. In May 1716 Law opened the Banque Générale, a private bank of issue; at the close of 1718 it became the Banque Royale, its notes guaranteed by the King of France. In between came the Compagnie d’Occident, the Mississippi Company, holding the Louisiana trade monopoly, and through 1719 the Company swallowed its rivals until, restyled the Compagnie des Indes, it held the overseas commerce of France in one hand and reached for the mint and the tax farms with the other.

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Economics is not about things and tangible material objects; it is about men, their meanings and actions.”

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The Subject Index

Plate of the Week

Each week the house brings one plate out of its essays for a closer look.

Plate II. The Course of New Money. Conceptual engraved canal-survey map of the Cantillon effect. New money issues at a springhead marked the mint and the central bank, then runs as a single meandering watercourse down through five numbered locks, each a receiver class in its order of arrival: the sovereign, the banks and dealers, the asset owners, the merchants, and last the wage earner on a flooded floodplain. The channel of coin narrows to a thin trickle by the tail, while hatching marks the low ground where prices have already risen ahead of the coin. A staff gauge at each lock reads the price level higher than the last, and stands nearly brim-full by the floodplain. The Course of New Money New money issues at the springhead and works downstream through five receivers in turn. The price of things rises at every lock before the wage earner, at the tail, has touched a coin. THE SPRINGHEAD THE MINT · THE CENTRAL BANK where the new money issues. I THE SOVEREIGN First to spend the new coin. II THE BANKS & DEALERS They lend the new money onward. III THE ASSET OWNERS The first prices to move. IV THE MERCHANTS Shopkeepers raise prices. V THE WAGE EARNER Paid last, in a coin already dear. THE FLOODPLAIN OF FIXED WAGES where prices have risen ahead of the wage. “The river, which runs and winds about in its bed, will not flow with double the speed when the amount of water is doubled.” RICHARD CANTILLON · ESSAI, 1755 RECEIVERS, IN ORDER OF ARRIVAL · PRICES RISE UPSTREAM FIRST I · THE STATE AT THE HEAD II–IV · THE FINANCIAL REACH V · THE WAGE EARNER ALREADY REPRICED · FLOODED GROUND STAFF GAUGE · THE PRICE OF THINGS, HIGHER AT EACH LOCK AFTER R. CANTILLON · ESSAI SUR LA NATURE DU COMMERCE EN GÉNÉRAL · 1755

THE TALE OF CANTILLON

The Course of New Money

New money comes into a country somewhere in particular, and this plate surveys what follows as an engineer would a canal, from a springhead kept by the mint and the central bank down five locks, the sovereign’s first, the wage earner’s last. The surveyor’s conventions carry the argument: the staff gauge at each lock reads higher than the one before, the channel thins as it falls, and the low ground lies hatched as flooded, since the prices arrived ahead of the money. In the cartouche rides Cantillon’s own sentence, the river that will not run twice as fast because its water is doubled. He had watched the flood of 1720 from the inside before he charted it.

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